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Tuesday, Mar 18, 2025

CIS Barometer Indicates Political Shifts in Spain Amid Global Tensions

CIS Barometer Indicates Political Shifts in Spain Amid Global Tensions

PSOE leads in voter intention, while Vox sees a decline; increasing concerns over European defense and international relations.
In a recent barometer from the Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (CIS), the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) appears to maintain a lead ahead of upcoming general elections, with an estimated 34.5% share of the vote.

This reflects a 1.1-point increase in voter intention compared to last month.

The opposition People's Party (PP) also shows a minor improvement, rising to 29.2%, although it remains below 30% for several months, recording its lowest support since the previous general elections.

In contrast, Vox, which previously recorded its best results in February with 13.3%, has fallen to 11.7%.

The decline of Vox is thought to be influenced by its strong support for Donald Trump amid shifting international political dynamics.

The survey, conducted from February 28 to March 7, comprised 4,018 interviews across Spain.

During this period, discussions around increasing European defense expenditure were prominent.

In this context, 58% of respondents believe the European Union lacks the capability to defend itself against external threats.

A significant majority, 75%, supports expanding the EU's defense capabilities, reflecting heightened public concern about security issues.

In a policy shift, the PSOE has also negotiated with Junts to transfer immigration competencies to the Catalonian government, coinciding with ongoing legal inquiries related to the handling of flooding in Valencia.

Following these developments, voters prefer Pedro Sánchez as the Prime Minister, with 44.8% indicating him as their choice, while his main rival, Núñez Feijóo of the PP, garners support from 18.1%.

In terms of political evaluations, Sánchez is regarded as the most favorable leader with an average score of 4.12, followed closely by Yolanda Díaz of Sumar at 3.88, while Santiago Abascal of Vox trails with a score of 2.77.

Concerning economic issues, housing continues to be identified as the principal problem facing Spain, with 28.4% of respondents highlighting it.

This is followed closely by economic crisis and unemployment, each cited by 20.4% of participants.

Furthermore, 74.9% express significant concern regarding climate change.

On the international front, the public sentiment regarding the changing U.S. political landscape shows that 77.2% believe relations between Spain and the United States will alter with Trump's return to the presidency.

Concerns about geopolitical stability are accentuated by the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, with 65.9% and 60.4% of respondents, respectively, expressing substantial worry about these conflicts.

The survey's findings indicate a complex interplay between domestic political shifts in Spain and broader global tensions.
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