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Thursday, Apr 17, 2025

Market Turmoil as U.S.-China Trade War Escalates

Market Turmoil as U.S.-China Trade War Escalates

Wall Street sees a significant loss amid escalating trade tensions and rising concerns in the global economy.
In a turbulent two-day span, Wall Street experienced a dramatic downturn, witnessing a loss of approximately six trillion dollars in wealth, primarily affecting U.S. savers and investors.

The heightened anxiety in the markets coincided with increased unease in the European Union, as evidenced by comments from European Vice President Teresa Ribera, who called for accountability while not ruling out retaliatory measures against U.S. exports.

The ripple effects of the trade conflict have begun to reverberate within the Republican Party, where constituents express growing concerns over rising prices.

As U.S. President Donald Trump faces mounting pressure from various fronts, including a substantial drop in oil prices and declines in the value of the dollar and gold, he directed criticism toward Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.

Trump publicly called for Powell to cease 'playing politics' and to lower interest rates immediately, attributing the market's instability, at least in part, to Fed policy.

This assertion comes despite positive employment data for March, which exceeded expectations.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by over 2,000 points, while both the NASDAQ and S&P 500 saw declines nearing 5% as news emerged that China would announce retaliatory tariffs next Thursday, imposing a 34% tariff on all U.S. goods.

This decision adversely affected futures for soybeans and livestock and raised alarms within the Western agricultural sector.

Airline and travel sector stocks continued to suffer, reflecting investor fears regarding decreased global demand for travel amid a potential economic slowdown.

In a social media post, Trump declared that now would be the 'perfect time' for Powell to implement rate cuts, emphasizing favorable indicators such as decreased energy prices and increased job creation in recent months.

However, these calls have been persistent, as Trump has for months urged Powell, both publicly and privately, to reduce borrowing costs to stimulate economic growth and job creation.

The Federal Reserve has maintained its current interest rate policy, holding rates between 4.25% and 4.50%, in response to rising inflation indicators noted earlier this year.

Following Trump's latest demand, Powell reiterated the Fed's stance at a public conference, cautioning against the potential inflationary effects of higher tariffs.

He indicated that the uncertainty surrounding the ongoing trade situation might lead to larger-than-expected economic repercussions, including slower growth and heightened inflation.

The World Trade Organization's preliminary estimates suggest that the newly imposed tariffs could lead to a contraction of around 1% in global merchandise trade volumes for this year, marking a significant downward revision from previous projections.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio acknowledged the severity of the market's declines, highlighting the escalating challenges faced by the administration.

Additionally, Japanese video game company Nintendo has announced a postponement of pre-orders for its upcoming Switch 2 console in the U.S., citing tariff concerns affecting the initial price point of $450.

The planned release date remains set for June 5, but the company may adjust timelines based on evolving market conditions.

Analysts at JP Morgan have elevated the likelihood of a recession in the U.S. to 60%, raising concerns among policymakers.

In contrast, Trump, during a recent golf tournament in Florida, reportedly conveyed a more optimistic view, insisting that now is an opportune time for wealth creation.

He shared a video on social media claiming to be strategically maneuvering the economy to influence the Fed’s monetary policy for favorable financial outcomes.
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