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Thursday, Jan 16, 2025

Spanish Government in Last-Minute Talks with Junts to Avert Legislative Crisis

Spanish Government in Last-Minute Talks with Junts to Avert Legislative Crisis

President Sánchez Faces Potential Parliamentary Gridlock as Puigdemont Threatens Breakaway
As Spain stands precariously on the brink of a potential legislative impasse, the government of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez finds itself in fervent negotiations with the Catalan separatist party Junts per Catalunya.

The aim is to prevent Carles Puigdemont, the exiled separatist leader, from announcing a definitive rupture with Sánchez's government, a situation fraught with complex parliamentary challenges and ramifications for future legislation.

The crux of the tension revolves around a non-binding parliamentary proposal from Junts, urging Sánchez to submit himself to a vote of confidence.

The Spanish constitution specifies that only the prime minister can initiate such a motion, and Sánchez has signaled an unequivocal rejection of the proposal.

This has led to intense, deadline-driven discussions between government officials and representatives of Junts, seeking alternative compromises that could evade a legislative standoff.

Should the proposal be rejected in Thursday's Congress meeting, it is uncertain whether Junts would align with Spain's right-wing parties, PP and Vox, to push for a censure motion against Sánchez.

However, the possibility of such a coalition remains remote, given the delicate political alignments.

A key sticking point in the negotiations appears to be the potential transfer of full immigration control from the central government to the Generalitat of Catalonia, a significant demand by Junts that Sánchez has resisted, deeming it as politically untenable.

Instead, efforts continue to find a mutually agreeable path that would maintain parliamentary cooperation without directly endangering Sánchez’s administration.

Amidst the high political stakes, the coalition partner Sumar, led by Yolanda Díaz, seeks to maintain internal unity and has yet to disclose its voting position on the proposal.

Meanwhile, the junior coalition members have expressed reservations about the PSOE's handling of negotiations, underscoring the precarious balance within the governing alliance.

Despite the looming challenges, the political calculus indicates that Sánchez is committed to avoiding early elections, even if current budgetary proposals face insurmountable hurdles.

The administration may continue functioning under the 2023 fiscal framework, increasing the complexity of governing while eyeing stable ground in the legislature.

The key issue is how Junts might leverage its strategic position without jeopardizing relations with the PSOE.

The looming decision by the Congress Mesa, empowered with a legal opinion that offers flexible interpretations of parliamentary proceedings, adds another layer to the intricate power play.

Navigating this political labyrinth while maintaining legislative momentum remains an acid test for both Sánchez's leadership and broader political stability in Spain.
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