In the months leading to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, former Kremlin adviser Vladislav Surkov articulated a perspective on societal dynamics, asserting that all societies are subject to the laws of entropy, ultimately leading to internal chaos that is often resolved by exporting it beyond borders.

This notion is explored in "L’heure des prédateurs," a recent publication by Giuliano da Empoli, which draws parallels with historical empires including the Roman and British empires, emphasizing how they managed internal turmoil through external expansion.

Current geopolitical tensions echo these historical narratives as the United States seeks to reinforce its global standing while addressing its internal divisions through external mechanisms, notably through the implementation of tariffs.

The rising trend of tariffs under the Trump administration has been perceived as a strategy to exert competitive pressure on European and Asian economies while cushioning American markets.

According to experts, this maneuver resembles tactics employed by former President Nixon during economically challenging times, suggesting tariffs are utilized as a strategic weapon that disproportionately impacts foreign capitalists compared to American firms.

The current trade imbalance provides the U.S. with a favorable negotiating position, as other nations, particularly in Europe, risk losing access to lucrative American markets.

This positions the United States advantageously at the bargaining table, compelling governments to make concessions to retain their export markets.

When assessing the geopolitical landscape, analysts recognize that economic power heavily influences negotiations.

The United States possesses significant advantages—military supremacy, the status of the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency, substantial capital inflows, ample energy resources, and a leading technological sector.

Despite potential pitfalls, the initial position of the U.S. remains robust compared to global counterparts.

The shifting international order, propelled by U.S. policy, aims to redefine global dynamics, potentially disadvantaging countries accustomed to the previous cooperative framework, particularly European nations.

However, the effectiveness of these strategies against China remains uncertain due to the tightly woven economic ties between the two nations.

China's responses to U.S. tariffs could lead to reciprocal challenges, complicating the intended outcomes of the tariff policies.

In Europe, plans to counteract U.S. tariffs have been proposed, with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen advocating for negotiation over competition.

However, the anticipated measures from the EU to address the tariffs may lack the necessary robustness.

While there's speculation regarding the implementation of counter-tariffs or tax increases on specific American sectors, including finance and technology, indications suggest that the EU may be reconsidering strict regulatory measures, particularly concerning digital markets.

Discussions are ongoing regarding modifications of the Digital Services Act (DSA), with potential reductions in punitive actions against large tech companies such as Apple and Meta.

The head of Competition, Teresa Ribera, is expected to visit the United States to explore possibilities for regulatory adjustments favoring American businesses.

Substantial growth opportunities for U.S. companies lie in the financial and technology sectors, with ambitions to expand into areas like public service management.

This represents a notable shift in elite structures within the U.S., where tech leaders are increasingly occupying roles previously held by traditional economic and legal experts.

The duality of U.S. tariff actions encompasses both a retreat and an expansion strategy.

The initial phase has commenced with the announcement of tariff amounts, moving towards subsequent negotiations.

Similar to past interactions with Mexico and Canada, where an initial tariff announcement led to dialogue and temporary concessions, other nations might follow suit, navigating the complexities of global trade.

As the U.S. navigates its tariffs, the political ramifications could be significant.

Should the administration prioritize inward retreat, there is potential for a reduction in internal tensions through economic revitalization and job creation, bolstering electoral support for the Republican administration.

In contrast, if the focus shifts toward expansive market openings rather than industrial recovery, it could exacerbate domestic and international tensions.